Public Health
We Now Know How Many People the CDC Is Monitoring for Hantavirus
There are no confirmed cases in the US, but 41 people who were potentially exposed to the Andes virus are in quarantine or being monitored for symptoms. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is monitoring 41 people in the US for the Andes hantavirus after a cruise ship was hit with a rare outbreak, but the risk to the public remains low, according to health officials. This includes a group of 18 passengers from the cruise ship who are now in quarantine facilities in Nebraska and Georgia. The agency is also monitoring passengers who returned home before the outbreak was identified and others who were exposed during travel, specifically on flights where a symptomatic case was present. "Most people under monitoring are considered high-risk exposures, and CDC recommends that everyone under monitoring stay at home and avoid being around people during their 42-day monitoring period," David Fitter, incident manager for the CDC's hantavirus response, told reporters during a media briefing on Thursday.
Reports of the Workshops Held at the 2026 AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
The 10th International Workshop on Health Intelligence (W3PHIAI-26) celebrated a decade of bringing AI and health research together, building on a lineage that began with the AAAI-W3PHI workshops focused on population health (2014-2016), the AAAI-HIAI workshops focused on personalized health (2013-2016), and the subsequent joint W3PHIAI workshops held annually from 2017 through 2025. Over this decade, the series has produced hundreds of talks and high-impact publications that have collectively received thousands of citations, shaping the research agenda in both population health intelligence and personalized healthcare AI. This year's special theme, "Foundation Models and AI Agents," reflected the field's rapidly evolving frontier: the emergence of autonomous and semi-autonomous AI systems reshaping clinical workflows, patient management, health system operations, and public health surveillance. Day 1 of the workshop focused on medical imaging and the translation of AI for clinical ...
Proximal Path-Specific Inference
Bai, Yang, Wu, Sihan, Sun, Baoluo, Cui, Yifan
Mediation analysis (Robins & Greenland 1992, Pearl 2001, Imai, Keele & Tingley 2010, Tchetgen Tchetgen & Shpitser 2012) provides a principled framework for investigating causal mechanisms by decomposing the effect of a treatment A on an outcome Y into pathways operating through a mediator of interest M. Classical mediation analysis focuses on the natural indirect effect, corresponding to the pathway from Ato Y through M, and the natural direct effect, corresponding to pathways not through M. These estimands are well understood when a single mediator is present and strong identification assumptions hold. However, in many applications, there exist multiple intermediate variables between treatment and outcome. In such settings, conventional mediation analysis typically requires the absence of treatment-induced mediator-outcome confounders--often referred to as recanting witnesses--as well as the absence of unmeasured confounding. Under these circumstances, commonly used identification assumptions such as sequential ignorability (Imai, Keele & Yamamoto 2010) or nonparametric structural equation models with independent errors (NPSEM-IE) (Pearl 2009) no longer suffice to identify natural indirect effects (Avin et al. 2005, Tchetgen Tchetgen & VanderWeele 2014). Figure 1 illustrates this issue: the recanting witness D is directly affected by A and simultaneously confounds the relationship between M and Y. Such treatment-induced confounding is common in epidemiologic studies, particularly when the mediator of interest occurs long after the treatment initiation (Robins 1999). A motivating example arises in studies of preterm birth. Mediation analysis has been widely used to explore whether adequate prenatal care (A) reduces the risk of preterm birth (Y) through preeclampsia (M) (Vansteelandt & VanderWeele 2012, VanderWeele et al. 2014, Xia & Chan 2023).
A Novel Computational Framework for Causal Inference: Tree-Based Discretization with ILP-Based Matching
Yang, Tianyu, Noor-E-Alam, Md.
Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision-making, as it aims to uncover causal relationships from observational data. However, identifying causality remains challenging due to the potential for confounding and the distinction between correlation and causation. While recent advances in causal machine learning and matching algorithms have improved estimation accuracy, these methods often face trade-offs between interpretability and computational efficiency. This paper proposes a novel approach that combines a tree-based discretization technique, tailored for causal inference, with an integer linear programming-based matching algorithm. The discretization ensures approximately linear relationships for control datasets within strata, enabling effective matching, while the optimization framework optimizes for global balance. The resulting algorithm yields computational efficiency and less biased ATT estimates compared to state-of-the-art algorithms. Empirical evaluations demonstrate the proposed method's practical advantages over existing techniques in causal inference scenarios.
Process for Adapting Language Models to Society (PALMS) with Values-Targeted Datasets
Language models can generate harmful and biased outputs and exhibit undesirable behavior according to a given cultural context. We propose a Process for Adapting Language Models to Society (PALMS) with ValuesTargeted Datasets, an iterative process to significantly change model behavior by crafting and fine-tuning on a dataset that reflects a predetermined set of target values. We evaluate our process using three metrics: quantitative metrics with human evaluations that score output adherence to a target value, toxicity scoring on outputs; and qualitative metrics analyzing the most common word associated with a given social category. Through each iteration, we add additional training dataset examples based on observed shortcomings from evaluations. PALMS performs significantly better on all metrics compared to baseline and control models for a broad range of GPT-3 language model sizes without compromising capability integrity. We find that the effectiveness of PALMS increases with model size. We show that significantly adjusting language model behavior is feasible with a small, hand-curated dataset.
MOCA: A Transformer-based Modular Causal Inference Framework with One-way Cross-attention and Cutting Feedback
Causal effect estimation from observational data requires careful adjustment for confounding. Classical estimators such as inverse probability weighting and augmented inverse probability weighting are effective under favorable model specification, but may become unstable when treatment assignment and outcome mechanisms are complex, non-linear, and high-dimensional. Machine learning and representation learning approaches improve flexibility, yet joint training can allow outcome-related information to influence treatment-side representations, which is undesirable from a causal perspective. We propose MOCA (Modular One-way Causal Attention), a transformer-based framework that separates treatment and outcome modeling through a modular design, and performs confounder adjustment using a one-way attention mechanism. A cutting-feedback strategy, implemented via gradient detachment, prevents the outcome loss from updating the treatment module. This design preserves directional information flow while retaining the representational power of transformer architectures for causal inference. Across multiple simulated scenarios, including linear, nonlinear, heavy-tailed, hidden confounding, and high-dimensional settings, MOCA shows competitive or improved performance relative to IPW, AIPW, X-learner, TARNet, and DragonNet. We further illustrate the method on the Infant Health and Development Program dataset and the Dehejia-Wahba dataset as real-world benchmarks. These results suggest that modular attention with one-way information flow provides a promising and interpretable direction for causal inference with modern deep learning models.
The Tech Bros Are All In on Zyn
Nicotine pouches are revered among tech workers, who tout them as the perfect brain-boosting, productivity-jacking stimulants. Entrepreneur Garrett Campbell has a 6-mg "cool mint" Zyn tucked under his lip at all times during his mammoth 15-hour workdays, aside from when he is eating. "I was always very against nicotine," says the software company founder. The 26-year-old saw his peers using nicotine pouches at college, when they first emerged as a potential productivity-boosting hack, and considered it a "degenerate thing to do." But then all of his fellow founders started fueling themselves with nicotine pouches, of which the Philip Morris International-owned Zyn is the market leader.
UniTox: Leveraging LLMs to Curate a Unified Dataset of Drug-Induced Toxicity from FDA Labels
Drug-induced toxicity is one of the leading reasons new drugs fail clinical trials. Machine learning models that predict drug toxicity from molecular structure could help researchers prioritize less toxic drug candidates. However, current toxicity datasets are typically small and limited to a single organ system (e.g., cardio, renal, or liver). Creating these datasets often involved time-intensive expert curation by parsing drug labelling documents that can exceed 100 pages per drug. Here, we introduce UniTox, a unified dataset of 2,418 FDA-approved drugs with drug-induced toxicity summaries and ratings created by using GPT-4o to process FDA drug labels.
A Decision-Language Model (DLM) for Dynamic Restless Multi-Armed Bandit Tasks in Public Health
Restless multi-armed bandits (RMAB) have demonstrated success in optimizing resource allocation for large beneficiary populations in public health settings. Unfortunately, RMAB models lack flexibility to adapt to evolving public health policy priorities. Concurrently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as adept automated planners across domains of robotic control and navigation. In this paper, we propose a Decision Language Model (DLM) for RMABs, enabling dynamic fine-tuning of RMAB policies in public health settings using human-language commands. We propose using LLMs as automated planners to (1) interpret human policy preference prompts, (2) propose reward functions as code for a multi-agent RMAB environment, and (3) iterate on the generated reward functions using feedback from grounded RMAB simulations. We illustrate the application of DLM in collaboration with ARMMAN, an India-based non-profit promoting preventative care for pregnant mothers, that currently relies on RMAB policies to optimally allocate health worker calls to low-resource populations. We conduct a technology demonstration in simulation using the Gemini Pro model, showing DLM can dynamically shape policy outcomes using only human prompts as input.